For emerging markets, I think the products that enable carriers to increase bandwidth at low cost will be key. UBNT has the best products for that. All the data needs to go to the cloud and back. Cisco and Juniper make products that are far too expensive for emerging markets. Theyâll dominate the US Market where people can pay $100+/mo for a cell phone bill.
Their original product was for service providers to connect cell towers where it was too expensive to run fiber to connect them. That was Robertâs first invention and the reason he left Apple. It was hooking WiFi up to a big power supply to extend the range to miles. Their first products were sold to service providers in developing countries. The consumer stuff is very new.
TWLO made the original screen. Itâs up on a earnings beat and guidance increase. It dropped a big right after the IPO when Uber said it was developing itâs on tech and phasing out using TWLO. Turns out thatâs not that big of deal as they are growing rapidly with other existing and new customers. I wouldnât buy on a day itâs up this much, but I think itâs worth watching for an entry point.
Added SYNA to incentivize myself to read more about how good is this company is position for the coming trend of voice, IoT, and connected car. So could sell any of above if not satisfied with what I read.
TWLO - Isnât what they are doing is already done by the big boys like Apple and Google? They are serving other small boys?
Theyâre customers are businesses. They are how you get anonymous text from your Uber driver or eat 24 delivery person. It lets people use their personal cell without customers knowing the employees personal number. You could also run a distributed call center with it. Itâd actually be awesome to have for work. You could use a single cell phone but have a different phone number for work.
Seven Up, replace DATA with SPLK. Small Cap (more than $2B, less than $10B)
UBNT 100 shares
VEEV 75 shares
IRBT 25 shares
SPLK 0 shares
SHOP 0 shares
CRUS 100 shares
FSLR 100 shares
Shares of touch-sensor and display chip maker Synaptics (SYNA) are down $7.74, over 15%, at $42.80, in late trading, after the company this afternoon reported fiscal Q4 revenue in line with analystsâ expectations, and profit that beat by a penny, but forecast this quarterâs revenue well below consensus, citing a shortfall in chips for mobile products.
Revenue in the three months ended in June rose to $426.5 million, yielding EPS of $1.18.
Analysts had been modeling $426.5 million and $1.17.
For the current quarter, Synaptics sees revenue in a range of $380 million to $445 million.
CFO Wajid Ali, addressing the outlook, said that with a backlog of $222 million entering the quarter, and given customer forecasts, the outlook for this quarterâs revenue âreflects a sequential decline in our mobile business offset by post-acquisition revenue from Conexant.â
Ali predicted this fiscal yearâs revenue will be âback-end loaded,â as they say. "For fiscal 2018, we expect to generate low single-digit top-line growth weighted towards the second half of the year, coinciding with the ramp of new products and the growth of our IoT business.â
Exactly. If you believe what they said, âback-end loadedâ, now is a buying opportunity. Apparently Apple didnât buy their TDDI and they have to depend on Samsung and others to buy, and on growth of IoT business.
Iâve followed PANW off and on. I do think cyber security will be a secular growth story. I donât think we know which horse will be the big winner yet though.
Iâm still vetting the original list. Iâve narrowed it down.
So far, UBNT is the only one I own. I owned that before the screen. I like VEEV, SHOP, and TWLO the most so far. I think they play on trends thatâll create cyclical growth plus they are leaders in the trend.
In laymanâs terms, the company provides a cloud-based platform for organizations that have complex text-massaging and voice-based communication needs. As an example, ride-hailing service Uber uses Twilio as its communications backbone, sending updates as to their driverâs location and estimated arrival time to riders.
The need for such technology is obvious, and significant. We live in an increasingly mobile and increasingly always-connected world, and if Twilio doesnât do it, somebody else will.
Therein lies the rub for Twilio, and by extension, for TWLO stock holders. While Twilio is smack-dab in the middle of a growth market, a great number of other outfits are getting into the business and competing indirectly (and even directly) with Twilio. Zendesk Inc (NYSE:ZEN) and RingCentral Inc (NYSE:RNG) are a couple of those names tiptoeing into Twilioâs turf, but so is web behemoth Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN).
That competition is the crux of what pulled the rug out from underneath Twilio this year.
What comms backbone do Lyft and Didi use?
AMZN is making TWLO tough to own or validates the large market opportunity in the UCaaS (Unified Communications as a Service) market.
The irony is Twilio runs on AWS. Ring central runs their own data center. Apparently, I was the first person they interviewed that realized that and asked about it. The level of depreciation made it really obvious (I thought). They werenât sure if their costs were better doing that vs running on AWS. I was a bit stunned no one had ever done the analsysis.
Iâm not sure the other two use. Twilio has said Uber is their largest customer at 10% of revenue.
Since UBNT is a low cost disruptor to CSCO, I can see the possibility of it being a 10x. However, there is no mega cap business in cloud-based CRM yet, the biggest is salesforce.com which is only $64B market cap, about 8x of VEEV.
Workday is starting to enter finance which is one part of ERP. So currently it covers only HR which is only one small part of ERP.
Likewise Salesforce is only CRM company, doesnt cover other areas of ERP.
Only SAP, Oracle are major ERP companies and offer both CRM and ERP. Originally CRM was called customer service module of SAP was part of ERP, as Customer service became more and more important to companies and they realize they can monetize service better and improve sales and marketing CRM is born. CRM broadly covers sales, marketing and service of a company