Recession and inverse yield

All retirement accounts behave like 1031 exachange until we take out!

Yearly max is 54000 ( or 60000 for ages above 50).

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Yield curve is flatter than last year.
20180517

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The fed keeps talking about inflation, but no one believes them. It’s still very low.

Ideal combo: inflation and low rates.

Opinion: Ed Yardeni: That flawless predictor of recession and a bear market is wrong this time

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Trade war is the only thing that can tip US into recession in the near term. And chance of that is quite low.

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“this time it is different”

On Aug 21, 2018,
44%20AM

Good grief @hanera:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

And I blame @BAJacket for that… :rofl:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-says-keep-calm-curve-153447789.html?.tsrc=applewf

In short, this time is different?

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His new pic actually looks like him now.

You forgot how he looks like… :smile:

https://www.google.com/search?hl=en&tbm=isch&sa=1&ei=ftN9W8iHK4K28AOZs4WgCg&q=Patrick+Soon-Shiong&oq=Patrick+Soon-Shiong&gs_l=img.12...0.0.0.19911.0.0.0.0.0.0.0.0..0.0

Difference between 2 and 10 year treasury is now .77% :pleading_face:

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Narrow to 0.71% in just 4 days.

36%20PM

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Difference between 2 and 10 year is only 0.25%. You were looking at 3 month

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Normal yield curve
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Slightly flatten.

Powell might have already done enough to cause a mild recession. 10 year yield is now below 3%.