China Stocks

stocks

#703

Then go next door to Outback and ingest some steak. This is America not China.


#704

Who corrupted my thread? Last purchase of BAT is :slight_smile: previous purchases :disappointed_relieved: were

05%20PM


#705

@tomato did.


#706

America has better dim sum joints than Koi Palace.


#707

liar. i did not :slight_smile:


#708

You did by posting mindless comments :rofl:


#709

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/companies-apos-ready-move-supply-143908457.html

This is why tariffs might be short-term pain for the US, but it’s far greater long-term pain for China. Once manufacturing leaves it’s not likely to return.


#710

They will move American bound supply chain out of China. It doesn’t mean all of it, but enough content or value add so that the country of origin will not be China. That said I don’t think anyone is planning to move 100% out of China.

For a typical US Tech company focused on the enterprise market, US is probably about 40% of their revenue. So that much of the supply chain will move out for them. Not sure about other verticals to figure out what the percentage will be

Btw moving out of China doesn’t mean it comes to US. More often then not, it’s going to Vietnam, Taiwan, Mexico, etc


#711

What Chinese stocks to buy?


#712

bidu, baba, tchey.


#713

It doesn’t have to move to the US. As long as it leaves China, it hurts China.


#714

So the policy goal is to hurt China? Rather than balanced trade?


#715

Lets rephrase. It forces china to be fair.


#716

Although China has never played fairly, neither has America.


#717

But because America is the bigger of the two, it can ask for a more preferential deal. Strong eats the weak, nothing you can do.


#718

Not so. China can arguably be regarded as the bigger at this point. Who gets eaten by whom remains to be seen.


#719

The goal is fair trade. China isn’t going to remove tariffs and change policy, because they feel like being nice. Current policy is to their advantage. They’ll only give up the advantage if we force it.


#720

What Marcus said is impact of the issue, but not necessarily the goal of the issue.

The goal is to avoid imports, avoid external hires (H1B), Avoid new immigration so that companies are forced to employ local people and forced to source locally.

Many countries resort to such protectionism to focus on local employment and local economy.

Below is my own opinion/Analysis:

Second, the Chinese stocks going down. Trade war is recent origin, but Chinese stocks, EM (Emerging Markets) came down way long before Tariff is announced appx Jan 2018 onwards.

Since corp tax is reduced in USA, US companies bottom line is improved.

Many US based Hedge funds, Mutual Funds, International funds selling the international Stocks (Including Chinese and emerging market) and moving to US stock companies as they can get higher returns in view of Corp tax reduction.

Even if trade war is not there, Entire world stocks will sell off and US stocks will go up by this benefit of Corporate tax reduction as US became one of the tax haven state now.

If you closely look at, all these are started after Tax reduction is signed last December. The root cause, IMO, is corp tax reduction that attracts all over world money flow towards USA.


#721

David Ricardo developed the classical theory of comparative advantage in 1817 to explain why countries engage in international trade even when one country’s workers are more efficient at producing every single good than workers in other countries. He demonstrated that if two countries capable of producing two commodities engage in the free market, then each country will increase its overall consumption by exporting the good for which it has a comparative advantage while importing the other good, provided that there exist differences in labor productivity between both countries.[5][6]Widely regarded as one of the most powerful[7] yet counter-intuitive[8] insights in economics, Ricardo’s theory implies that comparative advantage rather than absolute advantage is responsible for much of international trade.


#722

Manch just learned comparative advantage :slight_smile: Econ 101 :wink:
The real reason is thucip (forgot the spelling) trap.