Many applications were ported from desktop to mobile over the last decade - FB, Twitter, expedia, whatsapp, banking application and several others . The list is endless. But, it will be interesting to see whether he (Zukerberg) has the leadership to give FB a decisive role in shaping metaverse technology.l
The big caveat is that FB didn’t revolutionize the category. Apple did, and eventually Android caught up. FB was a bit late to the native mobile application. They were stubborn by trying to do everything as a web app. Eventually, they came to their senses and just threw bodies at it to catch up.
To me, this time is different. FB is trying to pull what AAPL did with iPhone and I’m not so sure they will succeed. To me, the likely scenario is that AAPL, MSFT, and FB will all have their own platform. The platform has to have awesome hardware, along with a large ecosystem of software studios making compelling games/etc. To me, AAPL has the biggest advantage since they can easily migrate between iphone and whatever their AR/VR platform is. GOOG will likely won’t put resources into it until someone succeeds. If it does, they will throw bodies at it to catch up. This is the google way.
They will never dominate the core platform side of things IMO. I know U is trying to monetize in assets but it’s nothing more than stencil arts selling it to lowly indie developers, and providing design tools for all the platforms. To me, the real dominance is at the platform layer. Dominate the hardware and have a large ecosystem of software studios/developers developing on it.
In pc space, Apple owns both. Hardware and operating system. Wintel is Microsoft on Intel or AMD hardware. Android phones are various hardware but google android. Can something like this happen in meta verse?
Maybe but android took a few years just to get close to iPhone. I know that internally, google still copies iOS/iPhone as much as they can. They also copy AWS for their GCP side of things too. Google will copy and execute well once the market matures so I doubt it will be from them in the early innings.
Too many unknowns for this to be a DIY type of ecosystem imo.