Didn’t you tell me to read between lines? That’s a special service I do just for you.
Apple has yet to launch a generative AI product to compete with the likes of ChatGPT and Google Bard.
Why is Justin expecting Apple to come up with such as a product? Apple is not in the search industry.
AI/ML has been incorporated across Apple products for years.
“We view AI and machine learning as fundamental technologies, and they’re integral to virtually every product that we show,” Cook said before ticking off a list of AI features already in Apple products including crash detection, fall detection, and the ECG feature in the Apple Watch.
Palantir is just a glorified consulting shop with no real tech moat.
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The article didn’t say compete with PLTR, it said OpenAI is copying PLTR business model.
Stay poor not investing in PLTR
Sure is not an over hype? Btw I am not qualified to make judgement. Just thinking aloud.
I think Raoul was referring to this OpenAI demo, using ChatGPT to build a custom ChatGPT. AI is making AI.
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The entire keynote on those revolutionary initiatives.
Yes. They’re making it so companies won’t need all the employees to build new tech products. How is that going to help fill all the vacant office space? How will it reverse SF’s population decline? SF needs both to happen to reverse the tax revenue decline.
This could be the robotics in auto manufacturing moment for tech. There’s a reason UAW membership has been declining for decades. It takes 1/10th as many workers to run an assembly line. All the other talking points are just BS politics to score points.
After the invention of compilers, did the number of programmers increase or decrease? Programmers used to program a computer by writing machine codes. Compilers let programmers write programs in high level languages understandable by humans.
Difficulty of programming a computer steadily goes down over time. Another way of saying the same thing is that productivity of programmers keeps going up. The skill set will evolve, but the number of programmers didn’t decrease. In fact, the opposite happened.
AI is just another step in the same journey.
Nowadays, almost every office workers and students know how to do word processing software, we don’t call them typists. Similarly, with ChatGPT, we won’t call non-CS trained people who know how to do “programming” to help them to do their work more productively, programmer. I don’t think SWEs like typists would disappear, it would be more like accountants… the number of professional SWEs would reduce… those SWEs doing work similar to accountants that do bookkeeping tasks prior to accounting software would disappear… these work would be done by business people.
I don’t think the number of SWE’s will decrease. The job will look different. It may not be manually typing codes in in VSCode. Maybe it’s by drawing some high level architecture diagrams, maybe it’s by telling the AI some blueprint, and tidy them up afterwards.
Actually SWE job doesn’t strike me as the right focus of AI impact. Automation always replaces repetitive tasks that don’t require a lot of creativity. Look at those jobs instead. Things like accountants, junior finance people, paralegals etc. SWE will just move up a rung by doing the more intellectually demanding tasks.
One more thought on this. Software industry is getting bigger and bigger because it captures more and more value in society. Software is eating the world, and people who work in software get richer in the process.
I see AI as another step in the same process. It allows software to do cognitive tasks like “assembling information and writing summary reports” that software was incapable of doing just a few years ago. This is a big category of tasks. Think how many white collar jobs fall in this category. As software sucks in the value of these tasks the software industry itself will get richer and bigger, and the SWEs will benefit.
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That is what I am thinking of. In fact, I find most SWEs can’t do this well.
Many programmers are doing this.
The former could increase but the reduction of latter lead to overall less SWEs required.
These would be done by the business people eg a lawyer and no need paralegal which is replaced by AI.
AI makes the work so easy that you don’t need an intermediary such as an office staff or a SWE. No need to communicate to another intermediary of what you want, just tell AI to do it.
I think there is some disconnect between my idea of SWE and yours. If someone who can’t even whiteboard software architecture they are not SWE working in tech companies. Maybe they are IT support people in non tech companies like banks. I wouldn’t call them SWE’s.
For SWEs working in tech in SV, I think AI is a net positive.
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If that is your definition, agree 
Poster says 10k lines of code decreased to 30 lines
Elon is an ass.
Beff Jezos the e/acc guy had some video up here:
https://x.com/basedbeffjezos/status/1721757365102596242?s=46&t=e2DAkaxaGRhpAWcndjTw-g
It’s a cultural movement in SF.