How Trump has handled the pandemic

Cross the Trump wall into Mexico and stay in an air-ventilated (no air-con) house.

Go to Singapore for a long vacation.

SARS virus burns itself out in 8 months. Similarly, Covid-19 would not be around by Aug. Hang on for five months or go to Singapore.

That formula is spreading around the web by some… The original formula of

Death rate = Total number of deaths/ Total number of infected

is correct!

However, the total number of infected is not equal to the number of confirmed cases. According to Dr Fauci, about 10x of that number is asymptomatic or has mild symptoms i.e. These guys will survive. So current death rate is too high, should be lower by a factor of 10.

The formula floated in the web assumes those who are confirmed cases but not dead or recovered yet, would have the same deaths/(deaths + recovered) ratio which is not true. Most of the confirmed but not serious cases recover eventually. If one want to scare the public a bit, can replace number of deaths by number of deaths + number of serious cases. The denominator can stay as confirmed cases just to scare the public - should be 10x if we believe Dr Fauci.