Many like AAPL 
pay dividends 
Now, we are all seeing how market makers (big banks/HFTs) working even though FED is printing unlimited money.
Do not challenge FED - will work until it fails !!
Fed signals weak economy going forward and push for stimulus, not good for stocks. Market is doing what Fed say, sell unless there is stimulus.
FED testimony was yesterday. All these are pre-determined move, by all banks/hftā¦etc. How I am able to find the fall by Aug 28th itselfā¦?
Everything, in my opinion, is pre-decided moveā¦
Bank bring up the market when things are falling apart (creating FOMO)
Bank bring down the market when things are recovering and unlimited money is printed (scare investors)
Ultimately, retail investor money goes to banks/HFTs/Market makersā¦
Now, market directions I am unable to find using algorithmā¦it seems beyond its power !
Correction.
Pre-public move 
because those guys know what Fed is going to say 
Work until it didnāt 
Market always change the code once you think you have figure out the key. You need to modify your programming to include ML that can figure out the change of key dynamically Ask your sons for help.
Anyhoo, I am now less than 50% cash. Waiting for opportunity (bottom 
) Btw, my semi portfolio is doing very well though - break new ATH after ATH. Ytd is much less than you ofc because have been sleeping for 2 months watching TV serials. But better than S&P and NASDAQ - Indices are not that hard to beat.
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Banks/Market makers knew ahead they are bringing the market way ahead from down 30% only to create FOMO, then find a nice opportunity to bring down when everyone is comfort!
This one, people Ray Dalio or WB, knows very well, keeping cash aside to get it at bottom.
Regarding algorithm, I have to work, but this is going beyond its level. May be higher mathematics multi-dimension required. At least, I am happy to know the fallā¦
I may not be able to find real bottom (may be after the fact)ā¦like Jim Cramerā¦hi hi hiā¦
If you are talking at high level, I have said in this blog (canāt remember where) that there might be a re-test of Mar low but not break lower than that, and I donāt know how low. High level assessment is easy to make using EWT. The impulse from Mar low is a wave 1 (Primary degree) that would be followed by a wave 2 retracing from 23.6% to 99% (i.e. re-test Mar low). I have yet to figure out how to determine which fib number is the correct one 
Refer to the updated QQQ chart with fib numbers. Currently QQQ is trading below 23.6%. Next fib number is at $251.27 (approx).
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i know Apple. i made general statement about tech stocks. such is scale of alternative to US tech being developed around world. and not just current generation tech but the next.
Oil is more like commodity sold anywhere and buyers dont care about origin.
.
Do you know post-war, the engine that led to USA being the superpower with the strongest military and outstandingly good life is agriculture? There is so much agriculture that everybody is obese well-fed and have excess to export, making so much $$$ to pour into Hollywood then auto then Tech.
Am I correct?
Just see 2008-2011 downturn, this will be exactly like that keep going down and then jump back in in 4 or 5 different cycles.
If we can find deep bottom and peak top, that can be better for growth.
I will not be able to find any bottom at this time.
Tradersā dream Reason why some are buy n hold is because they donāt believe it is possible.
Pretty sure wonāt be lower than Mar low.
Bottom was from Nov 2008 to Mar 2009. 2009-2011 is RE bottom
It was well diversified economy of 120 million people with world class infrastructure and climate relative to rest of the world. so much easier to create surpluses and attract the best.
I am comparing Energy vs Tech from cash flow vs valuation perspective. Energy industry will consolidate, will have positive cash flows. much better valuation to enter.
while Tech is all about Fed. and even with Fed it will still go into secular decline that will further accelerate with time as rest of world start replacement cycle.
It is not dream, but it is definitely possible, beating the market is easy with QQQ/VOO , but hard with TQQQ/UPRO. I have identified all peaks every time when market up, but bottom is too hard to find.
I have clearly shown when the market is heated up, saved lot of money. Even if I dip today, I beat the market.
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Your starting point is? After auto?
Doubt many will agree with you. Tech is the future. Oil is the past. Oil is no longer the abundant cheap energy source. The next one isā¦ actually we already have it long ago, called Nuclearā¦ but some1 prefer solar and wind.
Apple in bear market.
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Bot any yet?
Nah. Maybe that peak we saw was the real peak for this cycle? Some previous high flyers have been breaking down lately. Anyway wonāt buy anything until I see some panics setting in.
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