Zillow CEO Spencer Rascoff: Startups that try to disrupt real estate commissions are doomed to fail

In my opinion, most home shoppers select a real estate agent based on their expertise and their overall fit with the potential client more so than based on price. For evidence of this, look no further than the many companies that started out as discount brokerages but which have reduced their discount over time, in most cases to the point where their product differentiation has become the quality of their agents rather than their price point. Brokerage after brokerage that have tried to gain market share based on offering discount services have tried and failed, because consumers don’t respond to it. The real estate transaction is too infrequent, too expensive, and too emotional for people to select an agent primarily based on price. True, there are also industry forces which make it difficult to operate as a discount brokerage; but the primary reason why discount brokerages fail is because consumers don’t choose to work with their agents.

Exactly.

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Huh? No.

Redfin (NASDAQ:RDFN) gets a new bear as Needham’s Brad Erickson starts the company at Underperform on a “closing” window for a premium valuation.

The analyst expects “steady multiple compression” as the company "does not leverage its content marketplace and is forced to compete on an apples-to-apples basis with other brokerages.”

Jefferies downgrades Redfin (RDFN +1.2%) from Buy to Hold with a $17 target citing high exposure to the currently challenging housing environment, which outweighs any strengths in the fundamentals.

The firm expects net income loss from Redfin’s planned ad and media spend increase from the low-teens millions to $40M to $60M this year.

Redfin market cap: 1.6B. Zillow market cap: 6.8B.