You mean consumers are in record CC debt pretty much every year since credit cards came out? And yet we are still OK?
The entire gaming industry is mostly just buying and selling virtual goods. Apple is now trying to sell you a $3500 device to immerse yourself in a virtual world. I don’t get the doom and gloom.
Some are predicting metaverse spend will exceed real world spend. Those sort of predictions are insane. CC debt actually declines during recession. People spend like crazy during good times, because they are overly optimistic. Even people who don’t lose their job spend less in a recession.
I predict Apple will sell every unit they can make in 2024, and that quantity is on Apple’s ability to manufacture enough to meet demand. My supply chain contacts suggest that in 2024, Apple can produce between 250K and 400K at best.
Apple has the most risks among big techs. I exclude Tesla here as it’s not a tech company. Some of Apple’s challenges:
Monopoly regulatory risks.
Years behind in AI.
Huge exposure to China whose economy is in a death spiral.
iPhones on the flat part of S curve.
I don’t think AVP will stop Apple’s slow decline. One because it’s overshooting the market and super expensive. Cost won’t come down meaningfully in the next 2 years at least, likely longer. And Zuck is a great copying machine and he now has a great product to copy from. Zuck will get good before Apple gets cheap.
Lol. You’ve been bearish on AAPL since the start of the thread. It was $38.72. Now it’s $187.15. What stock have you owned the last 5 years that beats that?