Korean stat. Interesting that female has higher infection rate but much lower fatality rate. Don’t know what to make of the infection rate as there may be social reasons unique to Korea. But that virus is much more lethal to males is true globally.
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Ok, buses are super empty today. I’d estimate about 10% of normal. There’s 9 people and buses probably hold 100. It’s hard to know the standing capacity.
There’s also far less traffic on the roads. Usually, 522 backs up for about a mile to get onto 5 south regular lanes. There’s no backup at all.
The Mercer exit is where most amazon offices are. That’s usually backed up for a mile. There’s no backup on the express lane side.
This is pretty crazy.
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Male smokes, drinks, takes drugs and bad lifestyle.
Just came back from Costco, more crowded than usual, people continues to stock water and toilet paper. Don’t know about Houston! Not buying rentals there for sure.
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And we’re more reckless in general. A guy doing a Weather Service presentation in Pine last year gave out fatality stats for lightening strikes. More than three out of ever four Americans killed by lightening are men.
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@manch is fear mongering. Covid-19 has not run its course* yet, so all numbers are interim. More over, there appears to be more asymptomatic (near impossible to identify) cases than flu. So death rate appears to much higher.
*Same as the guy who spread death rate = death/ (death + recovered).
When is over, accumulated number of infected = accumulated number of death + accumulated number of recovered. Hence both formula is equivalent when over. However, at the start, number of recovered is not known yet as many are recovering, hence death rate = death/infected is closer to the final steady rate than death/(death + recovered) which yield a higher rate at the start.
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SF’s run officially over.
This is nuts. Why haven’t we shut down Seattle already?
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Why is it nuts? The cat’s out of the bag. The time to shut down a city is when the hospitals are 90% full. If that hasn’t happened yet, you might as well let it go a bit longer.
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Read below from the John’s Hopkins Daily Coronavirus report… note that it says that only 100 people need to be tested on the Grand Princess ship–ie they’re not testing everyone. Given that 5% of the American evacuees of the Diamond Princess were asymptomatic yet tested positive in a saliva/mucus test, testing only those who are clearly sick means people who are asymptomatic are likely to be released… in to SF. With decisions like that, spread is inevitable.
MORE CORONAVIRUS ON THE HIGH SEAS After the Diamond Princess and Westerdam cruise ships faced quarantine due to confirmed cases or perceived coronavirus risk, respectively, another cruise ship has been linked to a cluster of COVID-19 cases. The first death in the California, a 71-year-old man from Northern California, was a passenger onboard the Grand Princess cruise ship from February 11-21 for a roundtrip cruise between San Francisco and Puerta Vallarta, Mexico. Health officials believe he may have been exposed to the SARS-CoV-2 virus during his cruise. At least one other passenger from that same cruise has reportedly also been identified as a confirmed COVID-19 case. When the ship returned to San Francisco, thousands of passengers departed and thousands more embarked for the next cruise, a trip to Hawai’i and Mexico and then back to San Francisco. A total of 62 passengers from the February 11-21 cruise remained onboard for the next voyage, and all are currently quarantined in their staterooms, separated from the rest of the passengers due to their potential exposure on the previous cruise. The ship was en route from Hawai’i to Mexico when it was recalled to San Francisco, where all passengers are being held onboard until SARS-CoV-2 testing can be completed. According to Princess Cruise Lines, fewer than 100 passengers, including those on the previous cruise and those experiencing flu-like symptoms, will require testing. The tests will be delivered to the ship via a US Coast Guard helicopter then transported via helicopter to a laboratory in nearby Richmond, California. The Princess Cruise Lines also announced that the Grand Princess’ next cruise, originally scheduled to depart on March 7, has been cancelled.
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May be their test kits are not able to identify asymptomatic cases. Should consult the tiny island nation for how to do serological tests developed by Duke-NUS Medical School. Duke as in Duke University in USA.
I don’t understand why they’re releasing the prisoners.
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They should be able to, or at least the ones that are important–an asymptomatic case is only a problem if they are able to shed meaning that the coronavirus is present in the saliva or mucus. To not test everyone means that they are not even trying to catch those cases, yet we know these people clearly exist.
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These people are clowns. So we are off by, err…, a million?
This is why actual cases are probably many times higher than reported cases. Only the sickest people with the worst symptoms get tested. People with mild or no symptoms will never be tested and will go down as never having the virus.
Entire state of Missouri managed to get nearly 17 people tested. Maybe 16.8 people?
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They probably count unborn babies as part of a person.
A lot of this seems very bizarre. There are amazing terms being used:
“Weak positive” - what is that? Is that the window where the morning after pill still works before a pregnancy test would show positive?
Even positive tests are worded odd.
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Weak positive might mean you were exposed but your immune system nailed it before it blew up. Lots of people test positive for tuberculosis but aren’t actively infected with it. They just got exposed at some point.
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I’m assuming it’s a color-changing test and a weak positive only changes color a little bit.
Maybe like a pregnancy test in the first days of the hcg rise?
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