Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 Covid-19

San Francisco doing pretty well. Also note interesting comment that overall ICU utilization is half normal. Shelter in place and awareness of disease is causing people to be a lot healthier and safer that is causing less hospital admissions (like the tweet I posted earlier that shows national mortality dropped over 7,000)

This matches my anecdotal checks with a couple of my doctor friends

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WA has already turned the corner. NY is about to peak end of next week. CA is under control and flattening the curve.

What’s worrisome now is the second wave: Midwest and the South. Hopefully the warmer weather will help.

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I think the real fix would be for all of us to wear masks (once the shelter in place ends) till there’s a working vaccine available at scale. or we are going to go through this like a yoyo

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The problem is we will never know if such drastic action, like this shutdown, was even needed due to a lack of counter data. Probably, data from Arizona will make up for that where they are less strict on shutdown, according to a friend of mine who lives there. He wishes he lived in CA during this outbreak.

The debate is only starting now. I don’t think CDC and for that matter WHO will easily change their positions. To change is to admit they were wrong before. You bet they won’t want to do that, people’s lives be damned.

I am seeing more and more people on the left advocating masks: Noah Smith, Matt Yglesias etc.

considering the number of asymptotic people may be 2x to 10x, everyone should wear masks. Just assume you have it even if you are showing no or 1 symptom. CDC and WHO should walk back in the face of new information

I did some research on the mask. Masks can be low cost but effective tool to fight spread of diseases. Many of these diseases spread through nose and mouth.

Anybody recently order N95 mask? I have an old one, but thinking of buying some more. Thoughts on where you can buy?

no need to buy N95, N95 needs a fitting test actually,
ASTM level 2 surgical mask is good enough

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tying a scarf or muslin around your face will just do as good as mask.

i saw a twitter feed (can’t find it now when I do will share) from a microbiologist saying that is not good practice / you don’t need to clean your food - it’s in response to that video going around showing the doctor cleaning his groceries

:+1:

One step before is availability of masks for sale. Where can I buy a box of 100 surgical masks?

Well guess there’s a two-day lag now for taking yesterday off. 2,059 tests were processed and 1,120 came back positive, that’s 54.4% up from 49.2%:

As of 2 p.m. PDT on March 28, approximately 83,800+*** tests had been conducted in California. At least 27,251 results have been received and another 56,550 are pending. This includes the latest numbers California has received from commercial, private and academic labs, including Quest, LabCorp, Kaiser, University of California and Stanford, and the 22 state and county health labs currently testing.

***This week’s cumulative testing numbers are lower than last week due to an inadvertent over-reporting error discovered by one of the private labs.

5,763 – Positive cases
135 – Deaths

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It’s a concern but we are talking about places with MUCH lower population densities. Communicable disease feeds on density. The Phoenix metro area doesn’t even have public transit - just a few buses - and they closed the customer service windows March 20.

BTW our governor just ordered “stay at home lite.” You really shouldn’t go out for the next month unless you have to but the order specifically exempts everyone from having to furnish any sort of proof as to why they’re out. List of valid reasons is also pretty long. So it’s not a lockdown like the Bay Area.

great I have a delivery scheduled that day…my first time ever doing one too

Found it

Why anyone would wash produce with soap is beyond me. Those that are concerned should stop eating salad and cook everything. All bacteria/viruses are dead at boiling point.

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Mask movement is gathering steam. Unfortunately too late for the current pandemic. But there will be another one in the not too distant future.