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Worried? No need to worry, WS is expecting Biden to win. However if freak outcome, beware of the downside. Close all longs and short aggressively if you think Trump would win. Since I think Biden would win, I hedge my longs with SQQQ (not too aggressively though).
Worried? No need to worry => whoever wins market is going upside as uncertainty comes to end next day.
The one I posted the proof of what freedom press normal behavior - “final day press say so close race” so that results can be within margin of error.
Freedom press does not know clearly and is equal to tossing the coin , results 50:50.
IMO, Freedom Press Fails, Trump wins !
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Act 3 of the polling playbook. Been saying this for a while. Dems better stock up on Kleenex.
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Pretty much sums up why there won’t be any big surprises today.
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You guys need to lay off the conspiracy theories. Polls always tighten to the close. This election has been pretty remarkable in that the polls have been pretty stable. While polling by individual pollsters have been showing swings in both directions, in aggregate, there has not been much movement.
some good sites that use rigorous methodologies to measure multiple polls -
in the case of the latter, you can download their data and do stuff yourself.
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Early indications are validating.
I’m getting the spanking machine warmed up for all you data deniers.
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Smooth flowing in Williamson county. Over 70% already voted.
Is Williamson county’s Whole Foods close to your house?
Yes
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Biden wins Ohio and North Carolina and it’s done.
Ohio is so close, that Biden will most likely win PA. if he wins PA, he gets to 270. so far he is underperforming in FL and overperforming in the rust belt and neighboring states.
Trump is doing better in PA than Ohio. Granted, PA is only 23% reporters.
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CNN had Biden by 3% in Florida. It’s the opposite with 94% reporting. Florida is a lot of votes.
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Lol you just cursed both states. Don’t get too excited with early blue lead; OH for example counted mail-in ballots first.
Wow, Trump is now up a full percentage point in NC with 93% reporting. His lead in OH is now up to 5% with 74% reporting. He’s up HUGE in PA but only 32% reporting. It does appear Biden will flip AZ.
That’s the best map I’ve found.
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yep.
lotta CA tech dude went to AZ.
New York catching up now at 41%
Ok, now they are desperate to keep hope alive. They’ve called CA, OR, and WA for Biden with 0% of votes reported. He’s ahead 209 to 112. The issue now is the only still contested states he’s leading are:
Montana 3
Arizona 11
Minnesota 10
Iowa 6
Maine 4
That’s only 243. He needs some states where Trump is ahead to flip to get 27 more votes. It’s probably worse, since I doubt Montana and Iowa hold.
Alaska and Hawaii’s 7 votes aren’t reporting yet.
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CNN is freaking out about VA. The fact that VA still leans red in vote count means this is gonna be a great night. Same thing happened in 2016 even though VA eventually went blue.
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