hanera
July 23, 2021, 4:59pm
1
dated Nov 2019
Four big market indicators
Population trend esp 20-30, 30-50
High yield bonds
AAIA survey
VIX
Centre of growth for the next 20 years (from 2019?) is USA
He also mentioned RE
Who are in the 30-50 age group here?
Need to know what stocks you guys are investing in.
TSLA
SHOP
What else?
hanera
July 23, 2021, 5:01pm
2
Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors raises his price target on the S&P, but thinks July will be a ‘choppy’ month.
Yes, Jul is choppy
SPX to 4600 by end of this year. Currently is 4400+
Go for FAANG and tech
erth
July 23, 2021, 5:06pm
3
In last 4-5 days, sentiments suddenly have turned bullish. What happened?
hanera
July 23, 2021, 5:33pm
4
Whose sentiments?
A typical year has Jul-Aug bullish, Sep-Oct bearish. Watch for a top (not the EPIC Panda view) in Aug.
Today is Jul 23.
erth
July 23, 2021, 5:54pm
5
Seeing very little bearish sentiments have for last couple of days. I think it is good to remain invested next few months. People talking of the debt bubble. Do not understand
hanera
July 23, 2021, 5:59pm
6
Tom thinks interest rate would overshoot consensus.
2nd half of the year: Bullish epicenter stocks and FAANG
Conviction only 60%
hanera
July 23, 2021, 6:01pm
7
Don’t understand too. I find many of these analysis sound logical but don’t mean much.
Even Panda is bullish the last few days
Anyway, typically stock market runs into an Aug top. Look like a typical year so far.
hanera
July 23, 2021, 6:28pm
8
Frankly don’t get why bullish of epicenter stocks, they have been roaring for many months. Look at SBUX and DE. How high is he thinking?
erth
July 23, 2021, 6:31pm
9
Makes sense. I remember cashing out to 50% in August 2008 before market tanked in Oct 2008. But, the market had been on decline since Jan of that year.
1 Like
hanera
July 23, 2021, 6:39pm
11
.
Full typical year. You should be able to verify that most years are typical.
A typical year has:
. Jan effect - 1st two weeks up because of tax
. Soft Feb
. Good rally into April
. May is the tricky month, and usually has a down draft that swoons into June
. Summer Rally in July with an Aug top because on vacation
. Bad patch in Sep/Oct
. Santa Rally begins in mid Nov to mid Dec into Jan
manch
July 23, 2021, 9:03pm
12
Face Ripper made a bad call on oil and tech. Should have been the other way around, be bearish on oil and bullish on tech.
hanera
July 23, 2021, 9:49pm
13
.
I think you should state when was that. I didn’t read through all his calls yet so I don’t know what you are talking about.
manch
July 23, 2021, 10:09pm
14
I think Tom made the “long oil short tech” call back in May or so? It’s his most recent call if I am not mistaken. He is a skilled promotor so he gave it a cute name “epicenter”.
BTW Face Ripper has been on record saying Bitcoin will cross 100K this year.
hanera
July 23, 2021, 10:20pm
15
.
That must be a ST call. Long term, pretty clear is Long Tech Short Oil.
DH0
July 23, 2021, 10:58pm
16
In the 30–50 crowd here . I’ve been playing around with a health app called Noom for the past few days and love it. Usually I’m not an app guy (too old I guess) but this is kind of fun and working great. They are rumored to be going public soon at a valuation ~$5B.
4 Likes
i’ve heard its a more expensive weight watchers.
manch
July 23, 2021, 11:26pm
18
Just buy a Peloton and help out this shareholder.
hanera
July 23, 2021, 11:30pm
19
.
You should close all position and plough proceeds to NVDA and AMD. Remember min investment now is $500k per ticker.
1 Like
manch
July 23, 2021, 11:31pm
20
Different investors, different styles. There is more than one road leading to Rome.
hanera
July 23, 2021, 11:32pm
21
Rome? I am not a Catholic. Don’t care. Only one way to God, and is through Jesus.