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That is not an opposite prediction. When I utter my statement, I am well aware that you have said your prediction few days (can’t remember exactly) ago. Timeframe context is different. Whenever a new tool is introduced, those who know how to use it effectively will get higher pay… through time, more and more people know how… salary will revert to the “mean”. Anyhoo, you selectively cut off my earlier part of the sentence… what I am saying, ST there will be a good supply of SWEs which should bring down the salary of SWEs… previously, there is a “shortage” of SWEs because of talent hoarding by tech companies. LT… many developments can happen… hard to tell.
Btw, not many companies require 10x SWEs, 100x???, only need 1xSWE. So say with ChatGPT, increase competency by 50% i.e. original 1xSWE becomes 1.5 SWE and 0.67 SWE would become 1 SWE. Since these companies require only 1 SWE, they have an increased pool of 1 SWE to choose from, bringing down the salary of SWE.
Since there are many more 1 SWE than 10x to 100x SWE, the average salary of SWE would be depressed.