The bet is that these companies might thrive if Biden wins and pushes for the United States to rebuild highways and bridges, wean America off oil and restore fractured trade relations with China, Japan, Europe and other global economic leaders.
So construction equipments such as DE (I own some) and semiconductors (e.g. NVDA, AVGO, MU) have been soaring. I miscalculated, should have bought more SOXL rather than close. Thought uncertainty means market would be down. But Mr Market has made a bet.
Today too, market is strong, even if there is a dip, it may not be 20%, but my guess is appx 5% pull back or similar to it. Looks to me, lot of pre-emptive puts are in place and market is staying strong.
Well? Any famous last word? Anyhoo, I did a computation, 20% decline is consistent with the retracement of a corrective wave four of intermediate degree, so bull market won’t turn to a bear market yet just a deep correction.
The last time Biden was part of the administration they spent trillions and failed to rebuild much of anything (remember those “shovel ready jobs” which weren’t so shovel ready?) so I doubt this time will be much different if Biden wins. Look at the “rebuilding” efforts in the Bay Area after Loma Preita. The Left wraps itself in so much red tape they can’t actually do anything except get in the way anyone actually trying to do something.
If I guess, VIX will be killed, reduced after today…but market slide/correction is confirmed…Since I jumped too early,last week, my gains were small…still some gains…
BTW: This is for my discussion purpose, but not a stock advice, neither financial advice, Anything you do on stock market, you are on your own.
It’s hard to tell if this is profit taking or rotation. Tech is definitely hardest hit, and it’s had the biggest run. If other sectors are green early next week, then it’s rotation.