Greatest fool theory. Who care whether the security is worthless so long there is another fool willing to buy from you at higher price. The pretty woman analogy applies to the greatest fool and not the rest
Speculation is like running an insurance business. Statistically, the insurer will know the rate of loss, and the amount of per loss and then use that information to charge a premium. Insurers take a large number of small risk so that one risk does not drive them bankrupt. I am sure a successful speculator does this way. For example Venture Capital firm or Private Equity do this way when they cannot figure out risk other way.
Apparently Trump admin will do anything to prop the stock market is probably the reason why Jim Cramer is so bullish instead of bearish, however he didnât expect Saudi Arabia to start a price war. Now that Trump and Fed have started pumping money, is yesterday Black Monday, the bottom so BTFD or we are getting a DCB so STFR? Field days for nimble traders. Traders love volatility. Those who hate volatility donât have the right nature for trading.
0915 ET - Many retail investors used yesterdayâs precipitous drop as a buying opportunity. Among the most traded names at Fidelity brokerage yesterday were Apple, Microsoft, Inovio Pharmaceuticals, Tesla and the SPDR S&P 500 Trust Exchange-Traded Fund, or SPY, according to a DataTrek analysis of Fidelity data. Interest in buying those shares surpassed selling interest, the firm said, a sign that many retail investors charged into volatile markets in order to buy stocks rather than sell in a panic. âRetail investors bought the crash,â wrote Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research. (gunjan.banerji@wsj.com; @gunjanjs)
@manch Doesnât feel like fear at all Or everybody like you monitor the G&F index?
You canât, is why day/swing traders prefer to trade frequently so as not to get caught with large losses, also limit their long term (at least 8 years) gains. You have to make a decision whether you want to be a trader or an investor. For investing, you need to do a lot more fundamental analysis. Look at AAPL, despite the turmoil, holding very well because many investors know long term, AAPL will be A-ok. It used to be quite vulnerable to this type of turmoil, dropping like 60%+, now only about 15-20% correction.
These people are making statements for their publicity and plenty of people are there on market to scare retail investors and make them clients. They may be right or wrong, but what is the use for us or our investments?
Can we sell or buy based on such statements? It is ultimately, we need to decide and pull trigger. It is our money and our decision how to position.
From last Thursday to till date, my algorithm broke by some technical issues which takes at least 15-30 days to fix.
What kind of documents/details I focus => Last week, Thursday night I happened to read one anonymous analysts postings which clearly stated Thursday, Friday may be volatile, but Monday (9th) onwards market is leading to drop heavily ! Someone blogged that the guy was right on previous day analysis too (Good feedback).
I read his complete document, hard to understand the details as the material looked like garbage, analyzed it fully, looked to me that person was perfectly right.
Convinced market turns, took spy puts and got nice return. Now, I forget the market for this year or at least 3 months until everything settles !