We Are in Bear Market

OMG, you never believed TSLA, but believed FB !

1 Like

Read this and then decide what will be FB future P/E

And you pay taxes on the returns……….and if the economy crashes and the banks plays dumb………good luck recovering your money. Read the story of the bank IndyMac and how it screwed up so many account holders. :wink:

:smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley:

I’m not as smart as you to put everything in one single bank

Don’t have a single penny in the bank. All cash.

On the same page? Or you are talking to dioword?

Just telling how the account holders of banks get screwed up by not so famous banks.

The safest investment you can have is cash in hand. Never lose, never wins or no gains. (except the famous inflation eating it year after year) :rofl:

CDs? No liquidity, deduct inflation and taxes, you get what? :wink:

Jil may be a smart investor, but he ain’t a good deflector with his “this is because the US elections” :zipper_mouth_face:

“Several factors have conspired to knock markets this month — some earnings disappointment, a brewing conflict between Italy and the European Union over budget spending, criticism of oil power Saudi Arabia over the killing of a dissident journalist and finally, worries that world growth is losing steam.” :wink:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/dow-closes-down-600-points-nasdaq-plunges-4-percent/ar-BBOP2qj?ocid=spartanntp

Zuck and Sandberg are still there. Also, there has been a prolonged negative press cycle. I’d trust that they can get the story right eventually.

2 Likes

Semiconductor is in bear market.

1 Like

“Facebook’s operating margin would sink from its current level of 44% to the mid-thirties over the coming quarters.”

How many companies have operating margins in the mid 30’s? Also, facebook has already proven they can reduce ads, charge more per ad, and increase revenue.

3 Likes

FB was a great buy when I bought it at the IPO price of $38. I added some more when it slipped to $20. Now, at $150, there are better options out there.

2 Likes

As founder or first creators, they will be there for a longer time.

Whatever press says negative or positive, it is ultimately you - as an investor - must make sure you understand the truth and invest it.

You do it right, your returns are right…That is all.

There are 66 companies (including FB above 30% PM with 10B+ range)

There may be plenty above mid 30s, but that is not a relevant question to justify FB as a relative comparison.

The real question is “going forward” whether they can maintain similar growth or not, in absolute company level.

Few weeks back, Manch asked a fundamental question about TSLA. Here it is

Apply similar fundamental question about FBs future revenue and find out convincing answer to you.

If you are satisfied, FB will continuously produce increase revenue - in absolute scale, not relative - you invest it.

There is a fundamental change in FB’s revenue and Profit margin. In the long run, company stock price reflects company fundamentals.

mid-thirties over the coming quarters ==> You need to know how much, that is the key.

Here are the results of my calculations about FB (but do not know where FB will be landing)

FB_PM_VS_Price

Here is the link for the excel sheet (unzip) and change the green highlighted part, see the results in red highlighted cell. This is not proper analysis, but helps to know appx.

https://drive.google.com/open?id=1BQO5EaL3rU-MpWSXULQO1ytVGUYUpik9

IMO, FB’s next result is a clear indicator of what its future price is.

All I am asking is do some analysis before jumping at low price. You do it right, your returns are right…That is all.

From yesterday. Today’s decline will knock all further from the 52wk highs. Micron is now close to 50% off from the top. Did not know Applied Materials had it so rough.

No, you’re not. I think this has been mentioned in a thread before either here or the previous forum.

That was me too :slight_smile:
Oh wait @Elt1 too :joy_cat:

1 Like

Regional banks are also in bear market.

2 Likes

So far we have the homebuilders, semiconductors and regional banks in bear territory. Any other sectors?

1 Like