I agree active cases isn’t a good indicator of how many cases there are - we’re doing way more testing than we were a month ago. The only thing I’m looking at is hospitalization rates / ICU beds. That’s a better indicator of shit getting bad.
From new cases vs positivity rates it seems like.
In CA the positivity rates up by 20%, relatively lower per x number of positives, i.e. the rise of number of cases is most probably due to higher number of tests conducted.
In AZ, the positivity rate up by @65%, i.e. more positives being caught per x number of tests.
In TX, the positivity rate up by 82%, i.e. more positives being caught per x number of tests.
In FL the positivity rate up by @200%, i.e. more positives being caught per x number of tests.
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That makes sense if they are mixing in antibody test results. We know a lot more people had this vs how many showed symptoms. I would expect antibody tests to have a much higher positive rate.
Send thoughts and prayers.
As I mentioned above use this data source if you are worried about including serological count.
Most analyses I see online use this source anyway as they are more up to date and source data directly from states and counties. For a long time since the outbreak CDC didn’t bother keeping a good count. I am not sure it does today.
They are only reporting PCR. From their FAQ:
Are you reporting antibody (serology) tests or PCR (viral) tests?
We are currently capturing both data about antibody tests and data about PCR tests, but to our best knowledge we are only publishing data about PCR tests. Some states do not clarify what kind of tests they are reporting. If states are silently including antibody test data in their overall test data, our dataset will also include it. Once we are sure that a majority of states are reliably reporting antibody test data, we will publish national- and state-level data about antibody testing.
Exactly.
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Gov. Greg Abbott on Friday expressed regret for the first known time about the reopening process he spearheaded during the coronavirus pandemic, saying he should not have allowed bars to open as quickly.
“If I could go back and redo anything, it probably would have been to slow down the opening of bars, now seeing in the aftermath of how quickly the coronavirus spread in the bar setting,” Abbott said during an evening interview with KVIA in El Paso.
Joe has forgotten pretty much everything
He can stay on my farm. We need more farm labor 
I’m thinking about getting into raising chickens for slaughter 
We need dedicated carnivore employees.