Yeah, someone should have asked how many of those who died from 9/11 attacks had preexisting conditions and would have died in a year or two anyway. Instead of war on terror we should have war on obesity or something.
Why compare with other category of deaths? They are not substitutes although I think there are some overlaps. Number of deaths = deaths from a + deaths from b + ⌠deaths from Covid + ⌠LESS overlaps. So reducing deaths from any category would reduce number of deaths.
This is not correct. If the vaccine is effective, itâll be effective for those who take it. What youâre referring to is herd immunity.
Vaccines all have different uses. Herd immunity is desirable to protect those who cannot protect themselves. But not all vaccines are used that wayâelderly get vaccines against pneumonia and shingles to protect themselves, not others. Covid vaccines could be the same wayâgive them to those who want or need them who are higher risk, but let the younger group get natural immunity.
Yes and noâŚunder highly controlled conditions the best mRNA vaccines are 95% effective. In the real world, when you look at protection over a period of say a year the rate of protection will likely be lower, letâs say hypothetically 70%. This means that if only the at risk population takes it, they still have a fairly high likelihood of catching Covid. Over a period of years, they will still get it, because it is still out there, widespread in the population.
Now if everyone takes it, you are reducing both their chance of getting it and their chance of being exposed to it because the prevalence will be dramatically lower in the healthy population. You are effectively reducing R0 and dramatically reducing risk. This is why itâs recommended that everyone get the flu vaccine even if theyâre not at risk of complications.
Ignorance cuts both directions. Most people get vaccines without even reading the insert to make sure they donât have a contraindication, and most nurses donât read them either nor advise. Having gone back and read them, Iâm shocked at certain times when my oldest kid was given a vaccine that was contraindicated. That should be malpractice, but doctors and manufacturers are protected from any lawsuits when it comes to any childhood vaccine by the 1986 National Vaccine Injury Act.
If people were making proper medical decision making, theyâd view each vaccine as a medical decision, weight the pros and cons, and decide what is best. You donât just get surgery because itâs available to you, you get it when the pros outweigh the cons. Some people are more prone to vaccine injuries and would rather deal with the disease than the vaccine injury. Depending on the disease and your particular risk factors, it might make sense to opt for the disease, not the vaccine.
Also, vaccines alter your immune system, and some can make you more likely to catch other diseases. Getting the flu vaccine increases your, or at least childrenâs, risk of catching other respiratory diseases. So if you want to be sick fewer days, donât get a flu vaccine. If you just donât want the flu, but youâre ok getting a bunch of other stuff, get the vaccine. Though itâs pretty ineffective most years though, and everyone knows it.
âAmong children there was an increase in the hazard of ARI caused by non-influenza respiratory pathogens post-influenza vaccination compared to unvaccinated children during the same period.â
âTIV recipients had an increased risk of virologically-confirmed non-influenza infections (relative risk: 4.40; 95% confidence interval: 1.31-14.8). Being protected against influenza, TIV recipients may lack temporary non-specific immunity that protected against other respiratory viruses.â
Itâs more complicated than that. Vaccine immunity, just like natural immunity, is boosted by coming into contact with the virus and wanes without it.
For example, if youâve had chicken pox, you get an immune boost when your kids get chicken pox or when youâre exposed to it some other way â this is why widespread varicella (chicken pox) vaccination increases the risk of Shingles in adults â adults are no longer being naturally reimmunized by being around kids who get it. Itâs also why vaccines seem to have great effectiveness in testing but then are less effective when the entire population is vaccinated â people arenât getting the immune boost from being exposed to the wild-type virus. This was especially true of the chicken pox vaccine because it was being tested on kids who were being exposed to wild-type chickenpox at school and therefore reinnoculated â it made the vaccine look highly effectiveâŚuntil everyone started getting it, and now you need a second booster⌠if not moreâŚ
So vaccination of the elderly and at risk populations against a particular coronavirus will be more effective if they are reexposed to it naturally.
If itâs mandatory, that means 33-49M people will experience significantly noticeable side effects. Who knows how severe those side effects will get across that broad of population will all sorts of pre-existing health issues.
Then thereâs the issue that it takes 2 doses and people who experience the side effects will be less likely to get the second dose.
They admit the long-term side effects arenât well understood but urge that we have to do something.
Some how I bet this will go much worse than imagined with a host of unintended consequences.
The people whoâve suffered from side effects have reported redness and pain at the injection site as well as fever, chills, muscle aches and headaches, he said, adding most people have no noticeable side effects.
Sounds like typical vaccine side effects, i.e. just your immune system kicking in and doing its thing to raise a defense against the pathogen, the whole point of the vaccine. As usual, the headline overdramatizes the news.
agreed with every pharma drug there are side effects for a small portion of population, thatâs why in every commercial you hear them rattle off a host of things that sound worse than the condition itâs treating but they legally have to disclose even if it happened in 1 out of thousands of peopleâŚthis isnât anything new to be freaked out about
Lol at people spinning side effects when itâs 10-15% and who knows how many will die when you apply this across BILLIONS of people. All so we can stop a virus that kills 0.2% of those infected.
So now you are also an anti-vaxxer? California mandates all school children to be vaccinated of all sorts of illnesses. How many has died vs how many lives have been saved? As far as I am aware nobody even says Covid vaccination is mandated. I donât understand whereâs the controversy.
Iâm not anti vaxxer bit itâs naive to think there wonât be massive unintended consequences with a population size of billions. The fact people just shrug it off is honestly terrifying. Thereâs zero desire to discuss the trade offs and consequences. People pretend itâs all upside with zero risk.
Roll out will actually be much slower than most assumed. I saw a ridiculous forecast by Goldman saying half the country will be vaccinated by mid 2021. Thatâs just pipe dream. There are logistical constraints and most non-frontline people will likely take a more wait-and-see approach. If there are any âunintended consequencesâ we will know very soon before most people have taken the vaccines.
This is one survey result:
BTW China has been vaccinating its people with their own vaccines for months now and their vaccines havenât even cleared Phase 3 trials. Thatâs the true horror show. But AFAIK nobody has gotten seriously sick over there. Not sure if it does anything against Covid either. Our stuff has gone thru much more rigorous vetting.