So the message is lock down hard or lock down soft - CV will spread either way. Got to figure the economic cost (= long term deaths) as well.
Last I checked, Sweden has many more deaths per capita than itās immediate neighbors/sharing border countries. Thinking a section of population is expendable seems cruel to me.
So for me, the message is lockdowns have slowed down deaths. Otherwise we would have had many many more.
Now, coming to Economic costs:
A vaccine has come pretty quickly, there is good evidence that it would work. Governments around the world have supported the Economy with low interest rates, unemployment money, direct cash transfer, forgivable business loans(once they meet certain criteria) to minimize pain. Thatās why the stock market is booming in spite of the Pandemic.
There is no reason for any person to die in this scenario.
+53,326 yesterday(Friday)
It appears asymptomatic people arenāt spreaders. That means this is spreading, since symptomatic people arenāt isolating themselves.
The whole argument after WHO came out with that statement was that people are spreading it when they are pre-symptomatic - meaning they donāt have symptoms yet but are going around seeing people and spreading it, not that they never develop symptoms at all, they are two different things.
+62,661 yesterday(Monday)
And we still have flights from Britain landing every freaking day. No doubt itās here in the States already.
Close all air travel. But send HK2 to England on the last flight.
Thatās what New Zealand did and theyāre the only developed country that really contained it. Thereās a gaggle of third world countries that did well because hardly anyone ever visits them anyway.
Of course thereās no way in hell the US or any EU country is going to do that. Cuomo screamed bloody murder at the suggestion, early on, that we quarantine New York. Said it would amount to civil war.
The global warmers should applaud the reduction in Air travel. Still less than half of pre covid19. I have no problem with huge travel taxes to reduce air travel and a ban on cruise ships. Reduction in CO2 and covid19 risksā¦ win win. In the sixties air travel was expensive and coolā¦ now it is like riding a busā¦ pure drudgery and dehumanizing.
No kidding! I still remember my very first plane ride in the 1970ās. Coach was nicer that business class today. Given how seldom I fly I would glady pay triple for something bearable. The only options now are a few hundred bucks to be treated like cargo or many thousands for 1st class. Seldom anything in between.
Highly infectious, but howās the mortality? If it were infectious but less deadly by a factor of 10, this would be a good path to achieving herd immunity.
This could be VERY interesting if itās something in their dietālike more fish or more sources of Vitamin Dāor genetics. Itās something people should really be looking into.
They spend more time outdoors and theyāre just healthier. Better habits. Fewer bad ones. Thatāll cut the death rate from just about everything.
+66,811 yesterday
Of course, why not? We didnāt do anything.
- Colorado health officials identified the first Covid-19 case caused by a contagious UK variant.
- The new strain could be as much as 70% more transmissible.
Nobody else did anything either which is why the new strain is spreading throughout Europe as well.
Thereās just no will anywhere for shutting off all passenger air travel. Only New Zealand has done that.
Thatās of course fake news. France closed its border always right away stranding hundreds of truck drivers. Our friendly neighbor to the north shut down British flights as well. Donāt assume other governments are as inept as ours.
The Brits donāt care
Another strain from South Africa . There could be lots more mutations.
The British strain is in Colorado where Newsom is skiing. Letās ban his return.