Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 Covid-19

Fatality rate ranges from 8270/(117269 + 91188) to 8270/91188 = 3.97% to 9.07% slightly higher than yesterday. Fatality rate is a function of healthcare infrastructure, and number of elderly. Not sure about degree of air pollution, smoking, hypertension, diabetes and cardiovascular diseases - have impact but may not be as influencing as age.

What is Yossi implying? If he thinks spread is under-controlled and measures are working, he needs to go back to school. Not all of us are vegetarians.

Studies found that the drug may cause fetal deaths or deformities, and can be transferred in semen.

Uh…

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Deaths rate will decline as resting reveals more and more cases. With limited testing kits, only the sickest were tested. Now we’re expanding testing to anyone with exposure. We’re going to see a huge increase in asymptomatic cases.

I know. So not sure why Yossi posted that. Is not saying anything.

Isn’t it obvious? The death rate is rapidly declining. The whole justification for the fear was it supposedly had a death rate 10x the flu. Thats obviously not true now that we’re learning how many asymptomatic carriers there are. We don’t shutdown the whole country over the flu.

The death rate from seasonal flu is typically around 0.1% in the U.S., according to The New York Times.

Today death rate for US is 117/7687 = 1.52% more than 10x of flu. It is asymptotic to a number higher than 1% (10x 0.1) for sure.

Globally is also more than 10x. US has lower death rate probably due to outstanding healthcare infrastructure.

Fear index not zero yet.

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  • long term effect afterward, lung fibrosis
  • people do not die right away, first santa clara lady died after couple weeks of treatment in hospital
  • we don’t know if our medical system will collapse like italy. once collpase death rate will skyrocket .
    frontline all infected, sick unable to treat patients
    hospital icu bed all full, have to pick which one to save

Our gov is trying the best to keep the numbers under the curve hopefully not collapsing the medical system right now. I think bay area got lucky a lot of ppl were advice to wfh 2 weeks ago. that really help out

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Look at the South Korea data. They tested asymptomatic people in the church cult. 70% had it but showed no symptoms. Most of the NBA players testing positive show no symptoms. I bet the number of people with it is at least 10x what we think.

It makes no sense to allow food delivery when most service industry workers are young. We know it’s much easier for people 20-29 to have it with no symptoms. Meanwhile, they are cooking food to be delivered to people. It defeats the whole purpose of lockdown unless we’re going to test the workers each day.

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Please!!. This is an unfair charge. I am wishing ill for no one, young or old.

Doubt flu numbers include asymptomatic, so shouldn’t include asymptomatic for apple to apple comparison. However, if the political reason is to calm people down which is debatable, do extensive testing to catch those asymptomatic and give a lower death rate. I am clueless which is the right political decision. I am merely an observer, an armchair observer.

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10x looks about right to me even with Korea’s widespread testing. Where is the data to support “it’s just a flu”?

Life in Italian Lockdown After a Tragic Coronavirus Denial

It wasn’t until death rates began to soar that society began to take the outbreak seriously enough.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-03-18/this-is-life-in-italy-during-the-coronavirus-lockdown

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Just got my sushi fix. Tucson is locked down; Marana businesses technically don’t have to comply but some are and some aren’t. The sushji joint takes an odd approach. You come in and they tell you they are only doing take-out. Then they seat you at a table to fill out your order. Then you go up to the register with it and pay. Then they bring it out to your car.

US cases accelerates, likely due to more available testing. We should cross 10k in a day or two. Spain is still racing ahead. Italy’s curve is not bending much. Since we are Italy 2.0 we should pay close attention to how Italy is doing.

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Death toll chart. US is accelerating.

Europe is doomed. One of my European colleagues is showing all the symptoms but cannot go to the hospital. Dialed their so-called hotline and nobody picked up.

Median age.

Italy: 45.4
Spain: 43.1
China: 37.4
South Korea: 42.3
USA: 37.7

Europe has too many old people. They are toast.

  • The New York Stock Exchange said starting March 23, it will temporarily close its historic trading floor and move fully to electronic trading.
  • The move came after two people tested positive for coronavirus infection at screenings it had set up this week.
  • The entrants were stopped at the medical screenings at the Big Board.
  • This is the first time the physical trading floor of the Big Board has ever shut independently while electronic trading continues.
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