Election Poll

Shoooooooot… You might have to go over to Facebook in person and prove you’re a human being and not some Russian Hacker…

Everything versus Democrat is fake news. Yup

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They knew about her, that was why she had to drop out early in the primary because nobody wanted to donate to her campaign. A woman who got red carpeted into politics by having an affair with the Willie Brown machine ain’t no feminist.

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I think Biden didn’t misspeak, but just slipped and told the truth.

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Where is that quote/clip originally from?

John Nance Garner was one of Roosevelt’s VPs . He is famous for saying the VP job is not worth a pitcher of warm piss… unless of course the President dies in office ( about a quarter of the time)

Then she’s chosen the right running mate.

Scary thought

John Adams, the first person to utterly despise the vice presidency: “My country has in its wisdom contrived for me the most insignificant office that ever the invention of man contrived or his imagination conceived.”

Ironic.

From what I understand, Pence is actually doing quite a bit behind the scenes. When Trump is off golfing, Pence is at the helm.

This ain’t 1950.

You are saying somehow polls are going to be off by more than 8%?

Last election they were off like 1-2%

And now they have adjusted polling to account for more uneducated folks voting for Trump.

And so far looks like massive turnout from younger voters. Texas already at 75% of 2016 votes.

No doubt if the media is off that much, they should be taken out back and shot.

But more likely, some of you don’t have a great grasp of the electorate

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still a couple of percentage points short of 2016’s early voting turnout.

Point is 2020 in TX hasn’t surpassed anything that hapenned in 2016.

EVEN here when comparing both parties.

But in counties that supported President Donald Trump by more than 20 percentage points in 2016, at least 37% of people already cast their ballots. In counties that went for Democrat Hillary Clinton by similar margins, meanwhile, at least 36% of people already voted as of Friday afternoon.

Most CA voters don’t including ppl supporting Biden.

I find it amusing that somehow it’s foolish to believe the polls are rigged when tech censorship and blatant media bias can be seen anywhere in the year 2020, but blindly follow the polls is considered logical given the above environment. Can’t wait for part 2 of the MSM meltdown on Nov 3.

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Free money for folks who think Trump will win Michigan. Load up before we sheep wise up.

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https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5545/Which-party-will-win-Michigan-in-the-2020-presidential-election

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You too . Sell your houses and stocks invest the proceeds to load up on Biden winning . :v::sunglasses:

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I am never as convinced as you guys. Trump still has 12% chance of winning, which is not zero. Besides, odds are not that attractive.

Here’s the chance to triple your money:

Screen Shot 2020-10-24 at 10.32.48 PM

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5554/Will-Donald-Trump-win-the-popular-vote-in-2020

gotta give DOB on register though

I think there is a 5000 contract limit. So no you can’t bet your house on it.

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Deja Vu

None of that is to say that the polls are necessarily correct, or that Trump cannot win. I just would not assume there is any particular wisdom in the prediction markets. After all, look at 2016 — on the day before that election, the PredictWise aggregator of election markets gave Donald Trump just an 11 percent chance of winning. Silver’s model, much misremembered by the public, gave him three times those odds.

Right. Prediction market is actually pretty dumb. It’s not liquid, and not much money is involved.

That means people who like betting, armed with some common sense can take advantage of these amateurs.