Ramping up on semis will take 5 to 10 years at least. There are some, more immediate consequences of the Tech Cold War.
China will play hardball on M&A by American semis companies. Nvidia just submitted papers to the Chinese regulators seeking approval on the Mellanox acquisition. Wouldn’t be surprised if things get a bit rocky there.
China will ask important tech companies to list in Hong Kong and Shanghai instead of US. SMIC just asked SEC approval to delist from New York and Alibaba is rumored to seek a second listing in Hong Kong.
2019 is a watershed year. It’s the year US and China divorced.
RE prices in Bay area and S&P500 are going to crash soon(because of new excess supply), while they will shoot up like phoenix in China(because of large demand coming from utilizing realized returns of selling USA investments).