Indices & ETFs

@hanera super helpful, thank you!

The bear narrative here is that this is the beginning of a series of unfortunate over leveraged events. => Bound to happen like 2008-2011 with many UPs and Downs as this is repeat of Obama period, not to be political, but same set of concepts, esp Tax is eternal solution for every issue and too much restrictions on business side that is going to result of corporate income.

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There was another fund that blew up last week, but its positions were mostly Chinese tech firms.

Perennial dividend payers are PG and JNJ. Ignore the rest.

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Is BG preparing for the century corrective wave?

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I bought some NUE last March. It’s a well managed company. It’s about doubled but still sports a yield well above the S&P and a PE well below it.

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@hanera @Jil

@Jil will say yes.
I will say don’t bother because of my AAPL experience. Didn’t do any timing, dumbly hold for nearly 25 years and is up 500x.

The most powerful concept of buy n hold is ALL IN :slight_smile: all the time.

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$10 initial investment? :wink:

It is really…really…really…really…(I can say 1000+ times) hard find real buy/hold stock.

You will understand when you see your TDOC growth after 5 or 10 or 20 years (compare with TQQQ at that time). Say, for argument sake, you see growth is slower than TQQQ after 20 years, you can not rollback all your years. Gone is Gone…!

Your are one of the luckiest to be with right stock AAPL and that is the No 1 winner of all stocks !

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Read the article. In practice, Ashley and Matthew are the same person. You invest fixed dollar from your W2 :slight_smile:

Lol yes it was confusing. Ashley puts money whenever she has and Matthew puts money every month start. So only difference may be Ashley has bi or 4 week pay period and for Matthew it doesn’t matter.

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EW picture of many growth stocks look like ARKK and QQQ… all in last leg aka 5th Primary degree wave (multi-month trend).

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First thing first, need to buy a lottery ticket to win a lottery.

Second thing, thought experiment. If a big crash similar to Dotcom bust occurs, which companies* do you think would survive and prosper like AAPL and AMZN? Obviously has to be founder-led :slight_smile: or at least a certified genius (logically should be running a company founded by him, why would a genius want to be on W2?).

Note* Assume most of them would crash more than 90% to less than $10B so any companies with current market cap less than $100B are potential candidates.

A few well known companies come to mind… SHOP TWLO SQ TDOC ZM SE PLTR CRWD DOCU SNOW OKTA TTD U…

If you are left with $50k, which one of the above companies would you put ALL IN?

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Okay, with all these well known companies, which are those exceeded TQQQ since Mar 23, 2020? How would you know/judge, on Mar 23, 2020, that this company would make a better run?

BTW: All of them listed above failed to beat TQQQ except only one ! Any guess which one beat TQQQ?

It is really…really…really…really…(I can say 1000+ times) hard find real buy/hold stock.

I repeat again, you are luckiest to spot AAPL during 1998 and becomes the winner one now !

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To guess right plus buy and hold for 30 years is needle in a hay stack investing. Akin to gambling. I will stick to RE where insider trading is legal and you can value add with your own sweat equity.

Still doing analysis with past data? See through the fog! Are you aware that TQQQ was launched in 2010. I repeat, launched in 2010. Repeat one more time, launched in 2010. Somehow this fact didn’t get into your head. TQQQ was launched in 2010. TQQQ was launched in 2010. TQQQ was launched in 2010. Get it?

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Still doing analysis with past data? => Correct, Since AAPL went up 50000%+ you are glad your choice was right. Had it gone other way after 30 years, will you be able to rollback your life to change your investment?

It is really…really…really…really…(I can say 1000+ times) hard find real buy/hold stock ahead of years.

Now, whatever you think buy and hold may or may not be like your AAPL unless you have any means to identify…

You blindly believe that Cathie’s picks or Jim Cramer Picks or someone else picks are right which has no guarantee. …That is what you do not get it.

Had you picked “SHOP TWLO SQ TDOC ZM SE PLTR CRWD DOCU SNOW OKTA TTD U” randomly on Mar 23, 2020 most of them fail to beat TQQQ except one ! How would you know the right pick at that time?

Zillow back to earth. Good Buy?