Indices & ETFs

My wild guess, It should be a normal volatility, but not like correction or recession. This is very common two or three times an year.

Consolidation - 5-10% decline
Correction - 10-20% decline
Bear market - >20% decline

So you’re saying, max decline to 260 :slight_smile: / 200-day SMA.

My guess is appx Consolidation - 5%-8%

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BTW: How did you ask the question exactly yesterday? The stocks started falling after that?

Elliott wave :slight_smile: Refer to my chart on VOO 14h ago.

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Your timing is perfect as it exactly matches end of the Nov month !

Extremely optimistic count :star_struck: to please @manch ultra bullish outlook.
Extremely optimistic is in 3.iii.(3) :slight_smile:
Optimistic is in 3.iii :smiley: completing soon.

I hope I am not the only bull here. :scream:

Looks like AAPL is good for those who bought long time before like you, 20 years span , but not for those who buys now!

Startup/unicorn style of appreciation is long ago :smiley: I mean 10x-30x appreciation over 2-4 years type is gone. Now, at best is occasionally 1 double per year like in 2019 which is because it declined so much in 2018. I am happy with annualized return of 15-18%, slightly better than 7-11% of S&P. Should be good enough for those looking for passive income :slight_smile: For those who started DCA buying now, after 10 years, dividends should be good enough for passive income.

Talking about 10x-30x appreciation, I am banging my head against the wall now, miss so many :sob: ROKU, SHOP, COUP, TWLO, AYX, SQ, NVDA, AMD, TTD, FIVN, RNG, FB, TSLA, AMZN, NFLX

@manch Happy? Uber going 10x is possible if some1 figure out a suitable business model.

You seem to have forgotten TSLA?

The sweetest revenge against the haters here is for Uber to go 10x. :rofl:

Surprisingly, such mooning is pretty often :scream: Wonder is normal phenomenon or only for recent 10 years. Going forward, still got? Under pressure to find at least one, please :sob:

@manch Do you think DT is a possible 10x over 2-4 years? WS is going gaga over this app perf monitoring tool. Can’t believe such as a narrow software tool can be so hot!

New relic is also in the app monitoring business. Don’t know anything about DT.

10x is hard to wrap your mind around. How about 3 or 4x? Those seem to be easier to spot?

:scream: What is your net worth now? Billionaire status? Why are you wasting your time in RE investment?

“Easier” doesn’t imply “easy”. I think most of the cloud names people usually mention have good chance to go 3x in say 5 years, even bigger names like CRM and ADBE.

You are sure that the stampede to migrate from brick&mortar/ client-server to cloud has not slow down?

If that is your assessment, investing in RE rental is a waste of time.

@manch

Those fearing a less business friendly environment could be hedging against a Democrat, like Sen. Elizabeth Warren or Sen. Bernie Sanders winning. On the other hand, investors could fear President Donald Trump’s trade war with China will continue and get worse after the election.

Vote Biden :smiley: or any of the two billionaires, Seyer or Bloomberg.

Yeah according to one guy. I thought we learned early on not to put too much stock into what analysts have to say?

To give an example, remember how analysts predicted stocks will crash if Trump was elected? What happened?

It’s not one guy driving the pricing of the options market.

It’s already been proven the MSM is a joke. Over 90% of their donations go to Democrats, and they have been giving Trump 90% negative coverage since the start. Of course, that’s about as shocking as google editing search results to support certain views. All in the name of making the public more informed. That’s laughable.