My original comment was that not many businesses are worrying (yet) about Democrats taking the White House. And you gave me an example of options market movement, and how one person interprets what it means. You don’t see the two are totally unrelated?
…as the Dow Jones and other major indexes consolidate near highs, Apple stock, AMD stock, Google stock, Microsoft stock and Target stock look like leaders.
After calming down, did a count. UPRO seems to have some steam left so long 50-day SMA is not breached. Next week is probably sideways, hopefully, for me to accumulate more UPROs. In the heat of things, didn’t purchase many nor add today.
While index fund is the best instrument for lifetime investment, you can get zero return for a decade if you happen to buy at the peak of a Cycle degree impulse e.g. 1967 (approx) and 1999 (approx). Hence, is best to invest in index fund using the DCA approach.
I have no idea whether the impulse to be completed is wave 1 or wave (I).V.5. Given current macro environment, I wager on wave 1. For wave 1, worse case scenario is decline to 2000 while (I).V means below 1000. Ofc, worse case is not the most likely case, my broken crystal ball says should be around 3000.
MS said that because the re-bounce could de-rail their forecasted 20% correction to their clients. So they try to psycho the public with their statements to accept a 20% correction.
Looking at the chart below. 20% correction is possible. So is the “beginning of the end of selloff”. In fact, both sound like saying the same thing
I do not have doubt about the 20% correction which you have already predicted 23.6% - FIB level.
But, MS has told this just 2 hours before the market close, that too after 13.5% correction in place. They are openly scaring public to sell off so that they can “Buy to cover their shorts” tomorrow !
Reversal day. If tomorrow confirmed it, is a new multi month bull run with a new ATH. So @Jil think is a bull trap?
“I think the reversal today … was your key to start doing some buying, not some selling. … The uncertainties, the disarray, the mayhem—it’s not going to go away.”