IMO, wrong idea, Musk does not prop up the price. It is the market valuation. Here are the details how market sees TSLA now.
This is written for visibility and calculations behind growth stocks. Today is a classic day that market (S&P) went up , but TSLA came down 8% (appx).
As per market, TSLA has to grow 51% income for next 5 years and is expecting similar growth quarterly.
Last year, same qtr they sold 241300 vehicles and market is expecting 364660, this reflects ( (364660-241300)*100/241300) = 51.12%. (expected)
But they delivered 343000, which is ( ( 343000 - 241300 ) * 100/241300 ) = 42.14% (achieved)
Now, marketing is adjusting the growth based on quarterly sales. Still market may adjust some upside/downside based on real quarterly income that will be declared during results period.
Since US/worldwide market is mega trillions, investors are very sensitive to the expectations/results, esp Revenue generation and ultimately income as all income belongs to share holders.
He always does. The presentation is before results. Companies always try this trick when results is going to be not good. Otherwise should be after results.
No sir, he is exactly doing like the way TC is doing, no gimmick.
Remember, he was begging every one at one time for $420/share price for privatization when he was about to file bankruptcy !
Musk is like SJ, a technocrat with big ambitions.
It is market valuation, you first read my justification how market sees and understand. If you do not understand the truth, you will not be able to take correct decision.
For companies, it is not hype (as it stays only few days), but market valuation broadly.
Yes, Market is seeing any company as investment perspective, but not for any other purpose. This is common for AAPL or TSLA or MSFT. If iPhone sales plummet or goes up, you will see similar changes.
The 51% percent was derived (at that time price) from last quarterly (Q2 2022) sales from the company guidance. TSLA made some lay offs, cost cutting that may potentially increase the income in quarterly report and market will adjust based on the final figures.
Chicken genius is an über TSLA investor. He is realistic. Btw, it doesn’t mean I agree with his price target and assessment. What I meant he won’t interpret everything from EM as bullish and the truth nothing but the truth. That is, he is not a toxic bull like Ross Gerger. Chicken genius held a large quantity of TSLA shares, even though he thinks TSLA would decline sharply, he didn’t plan to sell because he believes strongly in TSLA long term. He says bearish stuffs, short where appropriate and doesn’t defend every bearish comments.
Valuation is not solely fundamental driven per se. It is risk-adjusted by the expectation of hitting those fundamentals. A DCF way to compute valuation would be influenced by the “risk free” discount rate used.
What is the reason? My thinking is in the future, full of robots and powerful AI. TSLA is one of those company that would benefit a lot from this future. As for energy storage SpaceX Satellite comm - not sure.
Leo is a multi-billionaire, extremely uber bullish about TSLA, willing to catch the falling knives even though he thinks TSLA is in a downtrend now. Realistic, not blindly bullish.
Disclosure: Added some TSLA Holding still green.