Why so? According to Debbie Burke, there shouldn’t be community spread because of the herd immunity. She added that Singapore didn’t achieve herd immunity because is too successful in containing the first wave, hence there is a second wave.
My feeling is vaccine is only for the non vulnerable group. There won’t be vaccine for the vulnerable group. Developing a vaccine or cure for a person with preconditions is considerable more difficult. So expect would take longer.
I said “may”. I don’t know much about biology. I can only speculate as a lay person. China’s biggest problem is that there are great temptations and incentives for all layers of governments to lie and there is no check and balance like a free press.
Based on the many on the ground accounts I believe corona is indeed mostly eradicated in China for now. But I did see some accounts of lying. Cases got classified as imported or patients didn’t get tested despite symptoms. Those are far and between though.
Hard to believe it didn’t because literally no social interaction for two months.
Such is also reported in USA. My belief these guys are frustrated that they are rejected. The rejection is due to healthcare guys feel their symptoms are not that of coronavirus. We need a self test kit ! Like pregnancy test easy to use.
I posted an article about Michael Levitt’s prediction a week ago. Here’s him again on LA Times.
On testing, the threshold for getting a test is pretty low…we tested anyone coming to a hospital with a respiratory illness, anyone who had been in contact with a Covid-19 patient…If you’re a hospital staff member with a mild cold, we’ll give you a test.
Singapore has contact tracing teams, who identify all the contacts of an infected person and ring them up.
In Singapore, we think it’s better to hive those people off and look after them elsewhere until the virus is clear. People with mild cases are kept in hospitals – we have enough space to put all the positives together.
If people don’t have symptoms, they’re put in home quarantine. And home quarantine is very strict.
Why Singapore isn’t in lockdown
It’s pretty well-known that children are asymptomatic or only have mild disease, so there was no real reason to close schools. If you close schools, what’s the trigger to reopen them?
“What we need is to control the panic,” he said.
Hey, I said it first. Please give me a Nobel price
But he also blames the media for causing unnecessary panic by focusing on the relentless increase in the cumulative number of cases
I think he is referring to liberal @manch
The virus can grow exponentially only when it is undetected and no one is acting to control it, Levitt said.
As I mentioned here a few times, once social distancing and shelter in place measures are implemented, max confirmed cases is 60k per cluster.
How do you get political support for shelter in place policies if the public is not sufficiently scared?
There is an optimal level of fear. Too little fear you can’t put in the right policies. The president kept saying it’s just a flu that’s why you have all those kids spring breaking on Florida beaches. Too much fear you get paralyzed and lose hope and stamina to keep up the long fight.
I am one of those people who have never worn a mask. @dioworld would want to punch me if he sees me.
Having said that I think the blue states are still slightly below the right level of fear. The red states have no idea a freight train is about to hit them.
“In fact, this is an acid test of every single country’s quality of healthcare, standard of governance and social capital. And if any one of this tripod is weak, it will be exposed and exposed quite unmercifully by this epidemic.”
The dramatic death rates in Italy, for example, are most likely due to situational factors — an older population, hospitals being overwhelmed, shortages of ventilators and the resulting rationing of lifesaving care — rather than some difference in the pathogen itself.
Although one team of scientists earlier this year suggested there might be two distinct strains of the virus with different levels of typical disease severity, that conjecture has not been embraced by the scientific community.
Based on Andrew Cuomo’s daily briefing:
- NY has performed 28% of all testing in the US.
- Anybody can get tested at ANY hospital
- Strategically they have most tests available in places with highest density.
But NY has half of American confirmed cases.
Green shoots:
Green shoots at home:
It happened in China as well.
Does testing lead to more cases or vice-versa? It seems the medical professionals in countries where testing is not constrained due to availability recommend the former rather than latter.
Looks like it is helping the economy.